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Culture · Between the Sagittarius New Moon and the Cancer Full Moon

Will 'Avengers: Doomsday' open above $250M domestically, head-to-head with Dune?

Window: Dec 18 – 20, 2026 · Trading closes Dec 17, 2026 · Resolves by Dec 22, 2026

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40%chance YES
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Recent predictions

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The Oracle abstains

The Oracle's reading

Marvel's return and Dune: Part Three open on the same Friday, splitting the IMAX screens, as the Moon waxes from Sagittarius (spectacle) toward a Cancer Full Moon (family, nostalgia, the old gang back together). Infinity War opened at $257M and No Way Home at $260M. A shared weekend is a Mars problem; a reunion story is pure Cancer.

Founding Oracles board · New Moon in Sagittarius → Full Moon in Cancer, Dec 9 – Dec 24, 2026. New Moon in Sagittarius on Dec 9 (00:51 UTC); Full Moon in Cancer, the Cold Moon, on Dec 24. Adventure, then home.

Resolution

How this market settles

Resolution date: by Dec 22, 2026

Resolves YES if Avengers: Doomsday grosses more than $250,000,000 in the US and Canada over its Friday–Sunday opening weekend, Dec 18–20, 2026 (previews included), per Box Office Mojo's weekend actuals. Resolves NO otherwise, including if the release moves off Dec 18, 2026.

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